Monday, March 15, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 160038
SWODY1
SPC AC 160036

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0736 PM CDT MON MAR 15 2010

VALID 160100Z - 161200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...EDWARDS PLATEAU INTO THE HILL COUNTRY AND THE S TX PLAINS...

SCATTERED TSTMS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT IN ADVANCE OF MIDLEVEL
VORTICITY MAXIMUM TRANSLATING SEWD THROUGH THE LOWER RIO GRANDE
VALLEY. 00Z BRO/CRP SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT AIR MASS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN CAPPED IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE COLD FRONT WITH THE MAJORITY OF
TSTM ACTIVITY ROOTED ABOVE PBL WITHIN OR IN WAKE OF FRONTAL ZONE.
00Z DRT SOUNDING APPEARS REPRESENTATIVE OF THE ELEVATED STORM
ENVIRONMENT FEATURING STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES AND RESULTANT
MUCAPE OF 500-700 J/KG. SOME SMALL HAIL MAY ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
STORMS INTO TONIGHT...HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER APPEARS
QUITE LOW.

..MEAD.. 03/16/2010

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