SWODY1
SPC AC 060035
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0635 PM CST FRI MAR 05 2010
VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...N CNTRL PLAINS...
BOUNDARY LAYER BASED STORM DEVELOPMENT...FOCUSED WHERE STRONGER
HEATING OCCURRED IN THE VICINITY OF THE LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS
NORTHWEST KANSAS/SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...IS IN THE PROCESS OF
WEAKENING/DIMINISHING. HOWEVER...DESTABILIZATION...BASED IN A
DOWNSTREAM LOWER TROPOSPHERIC WARM ADVECTION REGIME...AS STRONGER
MID-LEVEL COOLING LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE MID MISSOURI
VALLEY...WILL SUPPORT A RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTH
CENTRAL KANSAS/CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO SOUTHEASTERN SOUTH
DAKOTA OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE LACK OF A SUBSTANTIVE RETURN FLOW OF
MOISTURE OFF THE GULF OF MEXICO...CAPE IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH MUCH
BEYOND A FEW HUNDRED JOULES/KG. THIS WILL LIMIT UPDRAFT
STRENGTH...AND POTENTIAL FOR STORMS REACHING SEVERE CRITERIA APPEARS
NEGLIGIBLE.
..KERR.. 03/06/2010
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