SWODY1
SPC AC 030026
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0726 PM CDT FRI APR 02 2010
VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM EAST TX INTO THE MID MS
VALLEY...
...NERN TX TO MID MS VALLEY...
LARGE SCALE FORCING APPEARS TO BE GRADUALLY OVERSPREADING MUCH OF OK
AND NCNTRL TX THIS EVENING WITHIN EXIT REGION OF STRONG MID LEVEL
SPEED MAX. IN RESPONSE TO THIS FEATURE...DRYLINE HAS RETREATED
ACROSS THE ERN DFW METROPLEX...THOUGH FWD SOUNDING AT 00Z REMAINS
FIRMLY ON THE DRY SIDE OF THE BOUNDARY. AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH
STRENGTHENS AND EJECTS ACROSS THIS REGION THERE MAY BE A CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT/INTENSIFICATION ALONG WRN FRINGE OF N-S
CORRIDOR OF ONGOING ELEVATED CONVECTION/PRECIPITATION. IF DEEP
CONVECTION CAN BECOME ROOTED IN HIGHER QUALITY BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE FROM JUST SOUTH OF DAL INTO SERN OK THEN A SEVERE SQUALL
LINE COULD EASILY EVOLVE BEFORE RACING NEWD INTO AR. DAMAGING WINDS
WOULD BE THE MOST LIKELY SEVERE THREAT IF THIS TRANSPIRES. THIS
SCENARIO REMAINS POSSIBLE AND WILL BE THE PRIMARY REASON FOR
MAINTAINING THE SLIGHT RISK THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
..DARROW.. 04/03/2010
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