SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061735
FLZ000-061900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0486
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT THU MAY 06 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN FL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 061735Z - 061900Z
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL POSSIBLE. A WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY OVER CNTRL FL HAVE BEGUN TO INCREASE IN
INTENSITY THE LAST HOUR ALONG A STATIONARY BOUNDARY FROM NEAR SPG TO
DAB. 17Z SFC ANALYSIS INDICATED THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION WAS
BEGINNING TO SET UP AND THIS SHOULD FURTHER FOCUS THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT INTO SRN FL. GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND SFC BASED CAPE
VALUES APPROACHING 2500-3000 J/KG EXPECT AT LEAST SMALL HAIL WITH
SOME ISOLATED MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WITH STRONG CELLS. GUSTY WINDS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS GIVEN
WEAK DEEP LAYER FLOW.
..STOPPKOTTE.. 05/06/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...
LAT...LON 26818011 25678020 25358035 25208056 25258092 26088157
26748198 27558244 28968271 29398210 29418168 29268112
28968087 27978055 26818011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment