SWOMCD
SPC MCD 251229
TXZ000-251330-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0729 AM CDT TUE MAY 25 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTH TX/TX COASTAL BEND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 251229Z - 251330Z
STRONG/SEVERE MCS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND/SEVERE HAIL
THREAT ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS SOUTH TX TOWARD THE TX
COASTAL BEND THROUGH THE MID MORNING HOURS.
A STRONG/OCCASIONALLY SEVERE MCS...CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF I-35 NEAR
COTULLA AS OF 1215Z...WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PROGRESS
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD I-37 AND EVENTUALLY THE TX COASTAL BEND
INCLUDING THE BEEVILLE/VICTORIA/CORPUS CHRISTI VICINITIES EARLY THIS
MORNING. WITH LEADING CONVECTION EVIDENT AHEAD OF THE MCS AND MOIST
SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL INFLOW...THIS RELATIVELY WELL-ORGANIZED MCS
WILL LIKELY BE SUSTAINED WITHIN A MOIST/WEAKLY CAPPED/UNSTABLE
AIRMASS ACROSS THE TX COASTAL BEND /3000 J PER KG SBCAPE PER THE 12Z
CORPUS CHRISTI OBSERVED RAOB/. ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...SOME
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS/SEVERE HAIL WILL EXIST THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE LEADING EDGE OF THE
MCS...WITH WAKE-TYPE STRONG GUSTS ALSO POSSIBLE. OVERALL ANTICIPATED
MARGINAL/LIMITED SPATIAL NATURE OF THE SEVERE RISK IS CURRENTLY
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A WATCH ISSUANCE.
..GUYER.. 05/25/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...
LAT...LON 28929949 29059873 28859670 27949662 27429725 27689859
27949933 28239978 28929949
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