SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071407
KSZ000-071530-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0840
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0907 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 071407Z - 071530Z
BOUTS OF SEVERE HAIL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE MORNING
ACROSS CENTRAL KS. WITH THE SEVERE THREAT EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WANE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...A SEVERE WATCH IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING ELEVATED SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL KS. BASED ON THE 12Z DODGE CITY
OBSERVED RAOB AND OTHER OBSERVATIONAL DATA...THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY
BASED AROUND/ABOVE 750 MB WITHIN AN ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION/MOISTURE
TRANSPORT REGIME...WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES AND STRONG ELEVATED
BUOYANCY /2000+ J PER KG MUCAPE/ CONTRIBUTING TO STORMS CAPABLE OF
SEVERE HAIL. GIVEN A RELATIVELY STABLE AIRMASS ACROSS EASTERN KS
/REFERENCE TOPEKA 12Z OBSERVED RAOB/ WITHIN THE POST-MCS
ENVIRONMENT...CURRENT THINKING IS THE ONGOING STORMS SHOULD
GRADUALLY WANE IN VIGOR BY MIDDAY AS THE ELEVATED WARM ADVECTION
REGIME ABATES TO A DEGREE/CAPPING INCREASES.
..GUYER.. 06/07/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...
LAT...LON 39549927 39549778 38829674 37199739 37499924 38419932
39549927
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