SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082027
TXZ000-OKZ000-NMZ000-082130-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0859
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0327 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND ERN NM
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 082027Z - 082130Z
CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE INTENSIFYING /PER LATEST RADAR AND VISIBLE
SATELLITE IMAGERY/ ALONG A COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR A 30 WNW
GAG-BGD-30 SW TCC LINE. A MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT /WITH
MLCAPE VALUES AROUND 1000-2000 J/KG/ HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER THE
REGION AS TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE 90S. VERY WEAK VERTICAL
SHEAR PROFILES COUPLED WITH LARGE T-TD SPREADS /APPROACHING 40 DEG F
IN SOME LOCATIONS/ WILL RESULT IN AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS. SOME HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH STRONGER CONVECTIVE
CORES...BUT THIS SHOULD BE LIMITED BY THE UNORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN A WEAKLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. INITIAL
CONVECTION SHOULD BE FOCUSED ALONG THE NEARLY STATIONARY COLD
FRONT...BUT ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR LATER
ALONG CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF
THE WIND GUST THREAT...A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
..ROGERS.. 06/08/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...AMA...ABQ...
LAT...LON 35760063 35390135 34910256 34720339 34580416 34820435
35100417 35420332 35690243 35890198 36170143 36660061
36540007 36010014 35760063
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