SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020007
TXZ000-020100-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1179
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0707 PM CDT THU JUL 01 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...TX
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 435...
VALID 020007Z - 020100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 435 CONTINUES.
TORNADO WATCH 435 ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTH TX WILL EXPIRE WITHIN THE
HOUR.
REMNANTS OF ALEX CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM SOUTH TX AND THE
TROPICAL CIRCULATION HAS BECOME SIGNIFICANTLY DISRUPTED BY THE
TERRAIN OF NRN MEXICO. LOW LEVEL SHEAR HAS WEAKENED ALONG THE TX
COAST AND ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WITH LATEST VWP/PROFILERS INDICATING
1KM ELY FLOW OF ABOUT 20KT AT HGX TO 30KT AT BRO. GIVEN VERY MOIST
AIR MASS WITH PW VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2.5 INCHES AND CONTINUED AREAS
OF CONVECTION...THERE REMAINS A LOW PROBABILITY OF A WEAK OR BRIEF
TORNADO. HOWEVER....GIVEN THE DOWNWARD TREND IN LOW LEVEL SHEAR
COINCIDENT WITH A WEAKENING OF LOW LEVEL CAPE/INCREASE IN
INHIBITION...A NEW TORNADO WATCH ACROSS THE REGION APPEARS
UNLIKELY...AND WATCH 435 WILL EXPIRE AT 0100 UTC.
..CARBIN.. 07/02/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...HGX...CRP...EWX...BRO...
LAT...LON 25929681 25969727 25839739 25999762 26059816 26219848
26359876 26409907 27059943 27329954 27549949 27829986
28190020 28179935 28639938 28629832 28799806 28689802
28699782 28939744 28889730 29109698 28709666 28669628
28509651 28159609 27829662 27669673 27209704 26909704
25929681
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