SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092022
COZ000-NEZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-092215-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT FRI JUL 09 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 092022Z - 092215Z
STORMS ARE STARTING TO MOVE OFF OF HIGHER TERRAIN IN CNTRL CO.
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH
THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AS THEY MOVE EWD ONTO THE ADJACENT
HIGH PLAINS. CONDITIONS ARE MARGINAL FOR SEVERE TSTMS...SO A WW IS
UNLIKELY.
WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S F ALONG THE FRONT
RANGE...DAYTIME HEATING HAS LED TO MLCAPE VALUES OF 500-1000 J/KG
AND A REDUCTION IN CINH. MID-LEVEL FLOW HAS BEEN INCREASING THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AS INDICATED BY THE PROFILER IN NCNTRL CO. THE 0-6 KM
SHEAR HAS INCREASED FROM AROUND 20 KTS TO 30 KTS AT 19Z.
THEREFORE...A FEW OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
..JIRAK.. 07/09/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...
LAT...LON 41060383 40670290 40050241 39480234 38920228 38250248
37110295 36970508 38350562 39000572 39680595 40430600
40870586 41090551 41060383
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