SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122030
ILZ000-MOZ000-122200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1270
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 PM CDT MON JUL 12 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN INTO E-CENTRAL MO
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 122030Z - 122200Z
THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL MAY INCREASE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING FROM SWRN INTO E-CENTRAL
MO. AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.
AT 20Z...WEAK AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WAS SITUATED NEAR
VIH...WITH A STATIONARY FRONT TRAILING SWWD INTO SERN KS...AND A
PSEUDO WARM FRONT EXTENDING SEWD TOWARD FAR WRN KY. VERY MOIST
LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS RESIDES ALONG THESE FEATURES...CHARACTERIZED BY
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW 70S. IN ADDITION...CLEAR SKIES HAVE DEVELOPED
BETWEEN CLOUD SHIELDS LOCATED OVER NRN AS WELL AS FAR SRN MO...WHICH
IS AIDING IN BOOSTING MLCAPE VALUES TOWARD 2000 J/KG /PER OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS GUIDANCE/. WITH 30+ KT WLY MID-LEVEL FLOW SPREADING OUT
AHEAD OF CENTRAL PLAINS S/W TROUGH...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED BOUNDARIES MAY ORGANIZE INTO STRONG MULTICELLS
AS WELL AS POSSIBLE SUPERCELLS. DUE TO WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW...TORNADO
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN RATHER LIMITED. HOWEVER...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER UPDRAFT CORES.
..GARNER.. 07/12/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...
LAT...LON 37729090 37509241 37229348 37229449 38179460 38839289
39019097 38329024 37729090
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