SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142033
MNZ000-142200-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1303
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0333 PM CDT WED JUL 14 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL THROUGH NRN MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 142033Z - 142200Z
STORMS DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL THROUGH NRN MN MAY BECOME CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND...HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR
TWO. TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR A WW.
STORMS ARE DEVELOPING WITHIN ZONE OF DPVA AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
ATTENDING A PROGRESSIVE VORT MAX AND OCCLUDED/COLD FRONT FROM
N-CNTRL THROUGH CNTRL MN. ACTIVITY HAS FORMED ALONG AN AXIS OF
MODEST INSTABILITY WITH MORE LIMITED INSTABILITY FARTHER EAST INTO
NERN MN WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BEEN PARTIALLY OVERTURNED BY
PREVIOUS CONVECTION. THE STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OVER CNTRL MN IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO INFLOW OF HIGHER THETA-E AIR.
TENDENCY WILL BE FOR LOW LEVEL WINDS TO VEER WITH TIME AS SURFACE
LOW LIFTS NEWD. HOWEVER...BULK SHEAR OF 50-60 KT WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES INCLUDING SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS.
..DIAL.. 07/14/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...
LAT...LON 48339279 46729266 45249378 45079532 46399425 47469405
48389408 48339279
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