SWOMCD
SPC MCD 302051
NDZ000-302145-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1505
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 PM CDT FRI JUL 30 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 302051Z - 302145Z
ONGOING STRONG TSTMS IN SE SASK WILL CONTINUE TO PROGRESS SEWD INTO
NW/N-CNTRL ND...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/HAIL IS POSSIBLE...BUT A WW IS
NOT ANTICIPATED.
20Z VIS SAT IMAGERY SHOWS A BAND OF ENHANCED CU DEVELOPING OVER NRN
ND...AHEAD OF STRONG SEWD MOVING TSTMS OVER SERN SASK. SFC OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS INDICATES MODERATE INSTABILITY /ML CAPE 1000-1500 J/KG/
OVER THE AREA WITH VERY LITTLE CIN. EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-40 KT WILL
SUPPORT CONTINUED STORM ORGANIZATION FOR CELLS THAT DEVELOP OR MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NW...WITH A THREAT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
WIND/HAIL. WITH WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW/CONVERGENCE IN PLACE AND
SHORTWAVE RIDGING EXPECTED TO MOVE IN ALOFT...CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED.
..DEAN.. 07/30/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...
LAT...LON 49030305 48010252 47270158 47040086 47029975 47599928
48059945 48419974 48670005 49040060 49030305
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