SWODY3
SPC AC 240712
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0212 AM CDT TUE AUG 24 2010
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...SOUTHEASTERN U.S...
MEANINGFUL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL BE AT A PREMIUM ACROSS MOST OF
THE CONUS DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD AS A PSEUDO-STATIONARY FRONTAL ZONE
STRETCHES FROM THE COASTAL CAROLINAS...SWWD ACROSS GA INTO THE
NCNTRL GULF OF MEXICO. ALTHOUGH HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN LESS THAN 5%
SEVERE PROBABILITIES OVER THE SERN U.S...IT APPEARS ROBUST
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR IN ISOLATED LOCATIONS ALONG THE
WIND SHIFT DURING THE HEAT OF THE AFTERNOON. BOTH THE GFS AND NAM
SUGGEST MODEST MID LEVEL FLOW WITHIN THE BASE OF THE ERN U.S. TROUGH
WILL OVERSPREAD THE BOUNDARY ACROSS GA/SC WHERE SBCAPE VALUES SHOULD
PROVE ADEQUATE FOR POSSIBLE MULTI-CELL THUNDERSTORMS. IF IT BECOMES
MORE CLEAR THAT STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE ALONG THE SFC FONT
THEN PROBABILITIES WILL BE INTRODUCED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.
..DARROW.. 08/24/2010
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment