SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012022
NDZ000-MTZ000-012115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1531
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0322 PM CDT SUN AUG 01 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...NE MT...NW ND
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 012022Z - 012115Z
ISOLATED TSTMS ARE INCREASING IN INTENSITY ACROSS NE MT INTO NW ND.
A FEW SUPERCELLS ARE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT.
20Z WV IMAGERY SHOWS A MIDLEVEL TROUGH OVER SE BC PROGRESSING SLOWLY
TO THE EAST. MEANWHILE...TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED ON AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
OVER FAR NE MT. WITH SFC OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATING MUCAPE IN THE
1000-2000 J/KG RANGE AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 40-50 KTS...A FEW
SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LARGE HAIL BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
TSTMS DEVELOPING ON THE WRN PART OF THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NW OF GGW
WILL TEND TO WEAKEN AS THEY MOVE INTO MORE STABLE AIR...BUT STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER FAR NE MT INTO NW ND WILL REMAIN IN A FAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT AS THEY MOVE TO THE EAST FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. SEVERE
COVERAGE IS STILL IN QUESTION...BUT THIS AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR
A POSSIBLE WW.
..DEAN.. 08/01/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BIS...GGW...
LAT...LON 49000135 48370103 47790136 47610239 47440332 47510490
47840604 48450585 48920421 49000135
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