SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082151
MNZ000-SDZ000-082245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1616
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0451 PM CDT SUN AUG 08 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN SD AND CNTRL MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 082151Z - 082245Z
CONVECTION HAS BEEN GROWING DEEPER WITHIN THE HEART OF A MID-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS ERN SD LATE THIS AFTERNOON...LIKELY
FAVORING WEAK LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A WEAK FRONT/OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY NEAR KATY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS CONSIDERABLE DOWNSTREAM CLOUD
DEBRIS...THE ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP UPSCALE TO THE ENE INTO SW-CNTRL
MN ALONG NRN PERIPHERY OF 3000 J/KG MLCAPE AND WEAK CINH. WOOD LAKE
PROFILER SHOWS CONSIDERABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR THROUGH 9KM...AND
STORMS COULD ORGANIZE INTO SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND BOWING
LINE SEGMENTS GIVING STRONG/SEVERE WINDS UPON REACHING MATURITY.
PARTS OF THIS REGION MAY REQUIRE A WW IF ACTIVITY INCREASES
APPRECIABLY.
..RACY.. 08/08/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ABR...
LAT...LON 45319748 45729310 44439312 43679806 45319748
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