SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092253
KSZ000-NEZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-100030-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1632
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0553 PM CDT MON AUG 09 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME NERN CO...SW NEB AND NW KS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 092253Z - 100030Z
THERE HAS BEEN AN UPSWING IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY OF THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE OF CO AND ALONG VARIOUS BOUNDARIES
ON THE LOWER PLAINS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING
AIDED BY INCREASING MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT
/TIED TO WRN CO IMPULSE/ BRUSHING THE UNSTABLE /MLCAPES TO 3000 J
PER KG/ BOUNDARY LAYER. WHILE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELDS ARE SOMEWHAT
CHAOTIC AND WEAK AT THE MOMENT...SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED THIS
EVENING AS THE MID-LEVEL WAVE CONTINUES NE AND SELY FLOW INCREASES.
THIS COMBINED WITH FAIRLY HEALTHY CAPE VALUES AND DIURNAL INCREASE
IN THE SLY LLJ WILL LIKELY LEAD TO A CONTINUED BLOSSOMING OF STORMS.
PRIMARY SEVERE RISKS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...ALTHOUGH A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...PARTICULARLY
AS STORMS FIRST DEVELOP ALONG BOUNDARIES.
..RACY.. 08/09/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...BOU...CYS...
LAT...LON 40770441 41510339 41440017 40689955 39609929 39180081
38830265 39890470 40770441
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