SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281735
WYZ000-UTZ000-MTZ000-IDZ000-281900-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1749
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CDT SAT AUG 28 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...ID UT WY
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 281735Z - 281900Z
SLC 12Z RAOB ADJUSTED FOR CURRENT CONDITIONS OF 81F TEMP AND 51F
DEWPOINT YIELDS MLCAPE IN EXCESS OF 1000 J/KG AND LITTLE INHIBITION.
SITUATION FROM NRN UT ACROSS SERN ID AND INTO WRN WY APPEARS
SUPPORTIVE OF RAPID TSTM DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. THIS
DEVELOPMENT WILL BE FURTHER SUPPORTED BY STRONG LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE /CYCLOGENESIS/ AS A LARGE UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE
REGION FROM THE WEST. CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR OF 40-50KT WILL PROMOTE
PERSISTENT STORM UPDRAFTS AND STORM ORGANIZATION WITH FAST-MOVING
LINE SEGMENTS AND PERHAPS A COUPLE OF SUPERCELL STORMS PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS AND ALSO HAIL. THUS A WATCH WILL BE COORDINATED FOR
THE AREA SHORTLY.
..CARBIN.. 08/28/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...RIW...GJT...TFX...SLC...PIH...
LAT...LON 42170879 40221065 39611140 40101255 41141319 42201332
42901319 43951292 44431229 44641124 44491023 44080916
42170879
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