SWODY1
SPC AC 261625
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1125 AM CDT SUN SEP 26 2010
VALID 261630Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SOUTHEAST STATES...
THE ONGOING CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK APPEARS ON TRACK...WITH AN INCREASING
RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND/OR A TORNADO OR TWO THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST. THE 12Z NAM SOLUTION
CONTINUES TO SUPPORT A RAPID INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST AL...GA...SC BY LATE
TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...THE 12Z NMM IS MUCH LESS AGGRESSIVE WITH THIS
SCENARIO. IF THE STRONGER WIND FIELDS MATERIALIZE...A SUPERCELL
THREAT WOULD DEVELOP WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A
FEW TORNADOES. HOWEVER...UNCERTAINTY REMAINS WHETHER THIS SITUATION
WILL DEVELOP. FOR THAT REASON...WILL CONTINUE LOW SEVERE PROBS AND
WATCH TRENDS FOR POSSIBILITY OF UPGRADE LATER TODAY.
..HART/STOPPKOTTE.. 09/26/2010
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