SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142149
MTZ000-WYZ000-IDZ000-142245-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1826
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0449 PM CDT TUE SEP 14 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MT / NWRN WY / N-CNTRL ID
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 142149Z - 142245Z
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
ISOLD MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND A STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE WIND
GUST OR TWO.
RECENT VISIBLE SATELLITE/SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW TEMPS HAVE WARMED
INTO THE LOWER 70S DEG F WITHIN POCKETS OF STRONGER HEATING AHEAD OF
A LOWER AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH MOVING EWD ACROSS THE NRN
INTERMOUNTAIN REGION. ALTHOUGH MOISTURE IS LIMITED /SATELLITE
DERIVED PW LESS THAN 0.75 INCH/...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
UNDERNEATH H5 TEMPS AT -15 DEC C/ WITHIN MODERATELY STRONG SWLY DEEP
FLOW WILL SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER CORES CAPABLE OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND A STRONG WIND GUST OR TWO.
..SMITH.. 09/14/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...BYZ...RIW...TFX...PIH...MSO...
LAT...LON 44111378 44491444 45081417 46321216 46671024 46210934
45530888 44900951 43891293 44111378
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