Saturday, October 16, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 161945
SWODY1
SPC AC 161944

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT SAT OCT 16 2010

VALID 162000Z - 171200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...DISCUSSION...

PREVIOUS FORECAST REMAINS VALID WITH WIDELY SCATTERED TO ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TODAY FROM AZ AND SRN NM WITH MORE SPARSE
COVERAGE FARTHER NORTH OVER CNTRL CA AND THE MOUNTAINS OF ID AND SW
MT.

..DIAL.. 10/16/2010

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 AM CDT SAT OCT 16 2010/

ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF CONUS WITH ONLY THE INTERIOR WEST
HAVING ANY POTENTIAL FOR A THUNDERSTORM THREAT. WHILE LAPSE RATES
WILL BE RATHER STEEP THE MINIMAL AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
GENERALLY WEAK INSTABILITY. UPPER LOW S OF AZ IS WEAKENING WITH
STORMS SRN AZ TODAY GENERALLY WEAKER THAN ON FRI. OTRW ISOLATED TO
WIDELY SCATTERED MAINLY DIURNAL HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
GREATEST PROBABILITY MOUNTAINS OF SRN ID AND ACROSS CENTRAL CA AHEAD
OF WEAK APPROACHING TROUGH.

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