Friday, October 29, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 300043
SWODY1
SPC AC 300042

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0742 PM CDT FRI OCT 29 2010

VALID 300100Z - 301200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN FLORIDA PENINSULA...
AS A BAND OF SUPPORTING MID-LEVEL ASCENT CONTINUES TO SHIFT
SOUTHWARD THIS EVENING...ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS APPEAR LIKELY TO
DIMINISH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA AND UPPER KEYS DURING THE
01-03Z TIME FRAME. ACTIVITY COULD DEVELOP SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE
LOWER KEYS...BUT THIS THREAT IS EXPECTED TO END BY AROUND 06Z.

...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...
AS A MID-LEVEL CLOSED LOW AND ASSOCIATED TROUGH MIGRATE INLAND... IT
STILL APPEARS THAT DESTABILIZATION WILL BE INSUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT
MUCH IN THE WAY OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...A SHORT-LIVED
THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DOES NOT APPEAR OUT OF THE QUESTION NEAR THE
COAST AND COASTAL RANGES NORTH OF THE LOS ANGELES BASIN INTO AREAS
SOUTH OF SAN FRANCISCO BAY...AFTER AROUND 09Z.

..KERR.. 10/30/2010

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