SWODY3
SPC AC 130658
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0158 AM CDT WED OCT 13 2010
VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
...DISCUSSION...
SYNOPTIC REGIME WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY AN UPPER LOW OVER THE ERN
STATES WITH MAIN BELT OF WLYS ACROSS THE NRN THIRD OF THE U.S. FROM
THE PACIFIC NW INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY. THIS PATTERN WILL PROMOTE
OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE GULF. CUTOFF UPPER LOW JUST OFF THE BAJA CA
COAST WILL DRIFT EWD TOWARD NWRN MEXICO/SRN AZ.
...SRN AZ...
TEMPERATURES ALOFT WILL COOL FRIDAY WITH THE APPROACHING UPPER LOW.
WHILE IT APPEARS SOME INCREASE IN MID-HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE MAY OCCUR
OVER SRN AZ AS THE LOW ADVANCES EWD...BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL
REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED. COOL AIR ALOFT...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND
DIABATIC WARMING WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MLCAPE BELOW 500 J/KG IN THIS
REGION. A FEW HIGH BASED STORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN STEEP LAPSE RATES AND INVERTED-V BOUNDARY
LAYERS...ISOLATED STRONG GUSTY WINDS COULD ACCOMPANY THE STORMS.
..DIAL.. 10/13/2010
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