SWODY3
SPC AC 310704
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0204 AM CDT SUN OCT 31 2010
VALID 021200Z - 031200Z
...NWRN GULF COAST...
MODELS BEGIN TO DIFFER DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD REGARDING THE
MOVEMENT/POSITION OF UPPER LOW ALONG THE TX COAST. THE NAM IS MORE
AGGRESSIVE TAKING THIS FEATURE TO THE TX/MEXICAN BORDER NEAR
BRO...WHILE THE GFS HAS THE LOW SETTLING TO NEAR HOU ALONG THE UPPER
TX COAST AT 03/12Z. IN BOTH SOLUTIONS IT APPEARS CONVECTION WILL BE
ONGOING AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY...SWWD INTO DEEP SOUTH TX. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE OVERTURNING
AND WEAKER INSTABILITY DURING THE DAY3 PERIOD DO NOT FAVOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY GIVEN THE PROPENSITY FOR STRONGER
UPDRAFTS TO MOVE/DEVELOP OFF THE COAST OVER MORE BUOYANT AIRMASS.
..DARROW.. 10/31/2010
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