SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102220
OKZ000-TXZ000-102315-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1942
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0520 PM CDT SUN OCT 10 2010
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SWRN OK...WRN N TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 102220Z - 102315Z
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE THROUGH MID-EVENING AND A FEW
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ACROSS CNTRL/SW OK AND
WRN N TX.
VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR SHOW CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS INCREASING NEAR
A TRIPLE POINT OVER COTTLE COUNTY TX AND POINTS NE INTO SW OK ALONG
A STATIONARY FRONT. EXPECT THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPAND ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS THE TAIL OF A
PV-ANOMALY SWINGS SEWD FROM THE HIGH PLAINS.
THE EFFECTIVE VERTICAL SHEAR WILL INCREASE WITH TIME THIS EVENING
AND WHEN COMBINED WITH VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE 700-500 MB
LAYER...STRONGER CORES WILL PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. GUSTY WINDS WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE GIVEN DRY SUB-CLOUD LAYER.
..RACY.. 10/10/2010
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...OUN...
LAT...LON 33739903 34289970 34979983 35929970 36179731 34999706
34119792 33739903
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