Sunday, November 14, 2010

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 141612
SWODY1
SPC AC 141610

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 AM CST SUN NOV 14 2010

VALID 141630Z - 151200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
A LARGE SCALE TROUGH WILL REMAIN OVER THE CENTRAL STATES...
DOWNSTREAM FROM A CLOSED HIGH OVER THE ERN PAC. INSTABILITY AND
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE OVER THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS
THROUGH THE PERIOD...ASIDE FROM PARTS OF THE GULF COAST TONIGHT. AN
EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER NW MEXICO WILL PROGRESS EWD TO THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY OVERNIGHT...AND THIS WILL INDUCE MOISTURE
RETURN AND A 20-30 KT SWLY LLJ FROM THE NW GULF OF MEXICO TO THE
LOWER MS VALLEY. WAA N/NE OF A WEAK SURFACE LOW ALONG A STALLED
FRONT JUST OFF THE TX COAST WILL PROVIDE SUFFICIENT MOISTENING AND
ASCENT FOR A RISK OF ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT FROM SE TX EWD
ACROSS LA INTO CENTRAL MS.

..THOMPSON.. 11/14/2010

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