MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0007

ACUS11 KWNS 051542
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051542
FLZ000-051645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0007
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0942 AM CST WED JAN 05 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 051542Z - 051645Z

A STRONG/NEAR-SEVERE WIND GUST OR EVEN A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT ALONG THE FL PANHANDLE COAST THROUGH MIDDAY. BUT
OVERALL...ANY SUCH THREAT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED/MARGINAL AND NO
WATCH IS EXPECTED.

AN ELEVATED BOW ECHO CONTINUES TO STEADILY ADVANCE EASTWARD AT
AROUND 45 KT ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE...NEAR CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY AS OF
1530Z. WHILE THE BOW ECHO WILL LIKELY TEND TO REMAIN AT LEAST
SLIGHTLY ELEVATED AS THE MARINE BOUNDARY REMAINS PRINCIPALLY
OFFSHORE...THE EXISTING ORGANIZATION/FORWARD SPEED OF THE BOW ECHO
COULD YIELD STRONG/PERHAPS NEAR-SEVERE WINDS INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
THIS WOULD BE AS THE CONVECTIVE LINE/BOW-PRECEDING AIRMASS CONTINUES
TO GRADUALLY WARM/MOISTEN IN THE PANAMA CITY/APALACHICOLA VICINITIES
AND OTHER COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE FL PANHANDLE.

..GUYER.. 01/05/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 30208672 30628635 30468541 29858441 29598515 30098605
30208672

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