SWODY2
SPC AC 151703
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1103 AM CST TUE FEB 15 2011
VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...WEST COAST...
STRONG JET CORE WILL SHIFT EWD DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD ALONG THE
CNTRL CA COAST WITH H5 FLOW IN EXCESS OF 80KT. THIS CYCLONIC FLOW
REGIME WILL ALLOW FOR MULTIPLE EWD-PROGRESSING SFC TROUGHS TO
PROGRESS INLAND...ONE EARLY...IN THE 09-12Z TIME FRAME...AND A
SECONDARY LOW LEVEL CONVERGENT ZONE ONSHORE ALONG THE NW/CNTRL CA
COAST BY 17/00Z. EACH OF THESE FEATURES MAY SERVE TO FOCUS SHALLOW
CONVECTION AS THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES BECOME SUFFICIENTLY BUOYANT FOR
UPRIGHT CONVECTION. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS INSTABILITY WILL PROVE
INADEQUATE FOR ANY MEANING THREAT FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS.
..DARROW.. 02/15/2011
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