SWOMCD
SPC MCD 260741
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-260945-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0274
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0241 AM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...ARKLATEX INTO WRN TN/NRN MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 61...
VALID 260741Z - 260945Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 61
CONTINUES.
AREA WIND PROFILERS INDICATE VEERING WINDS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE
SPREADING EWD ACROSS MUCH OF TX...WHICH IS ALSO INCREASING
CONVECTIVE INHIBITION DUE TO DRYING. IN ADDITION...LOW LEVEL FLOW
HAS BECOME DECIDEDLY DIFFLUENT. FOR THESE REASONS...THE SEVERE
THREAT APPEARS TO HAVE ENDED OVER SRN PORTIONS OF WW 61.
PROFILERS AND MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATE THERE ARE TWO SEPARATE
BRANCHES OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...ONE ENHANCING LIFT FROM ERN AR INTO
NRN MS AND WRN TN...AND ANOTHER INTO NERN OK AND SERN KS. THE ERN
AREA SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE SCATTERED STORMS WITH A FEW CAPABLE OF
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL...BUT PRIMARILY SUB SEVERE...WHILE THE OK/KS
AREA WILL SEE DEVELOPMENT IN THE 09Z-12Z TIME FRAME...ALSO WITH
MAINLY SMALL HAIL POTENTIAL.
..JEWELL.. 03/26/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...
LAT...LON 32429308 33369695 35449696 34459310 32429308
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