SEL6
SPC WW 041935
MOZ000-050100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 36
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CST FRI MAR 4 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL 700
PM CST.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTHWEST OF
SAINT LOUIS MISSOURI TO 40 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MONETT MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN NUMBER AND
INTENSITY ALONG AND AHEAD OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING EWD FROM
WRN MO. AIR MASS HAS DESTABILIZED CENTRAL MO WITH HEATING PROVIDING
MUCAPES UPWARDS TO 1000 J/KG WITH LITTLE REMAINING CINH. WITH
APPROACH OF S/WV TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED ASCENT FROM KS...A FEW STORMS
WILL BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH STEEP
LAPSE RATES AND 40-50 DEEP LAYER SHEAR.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HALES
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