Thursday, April 14, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0427

ACUS11 KWNS 142318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142318
MOZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-150115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0427
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0618 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SRN NEB...N CENTRAL AND INTO ERN KS...SWRN MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 134...

VALID 142318Z - 150115Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 134 CONTINUES.

SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ERN
HALF OF KS AND ADJACENT AREAS.

ARCING LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS -- INCLUDING EMBEDDED ROTATING
CELLS -- CONTINUES FROM N CENTRAL KS AND FAR S CENTRAL NEB ESEWD
ACROSS ERN KS...ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A DRYLINE/COLD FRONT.

A RIBBON OF MORE MOIST/UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER AIR REMAINS EVIDENT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT/DRYLINE -- COINCIDENT WITH THE LINE OF
CONVECTION...WITH A MUCH MORE STABLE/CAPPED AIRMASS REMAINING IN
PLACE ACROSS FAR ERN KS AND INTO WRN MO. THUS...EXPECT ANY SEVERE
POTENTIAL TO BE SLOW TO SHIFT EWD -- WITH THE OVERALL THREAT LIKELY
TO DIMINISH AS THIS OCCURS. NONETHELESS...AMPLE THREAT MAY SLOWLY
SPILL JUST EAST WW 134 TO REQUIRE AN ADDITIONAL/NARROW WATCH
ISSUANCE AFTER 15/00Z.

UNTIL THEN...SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD WILL MAINTAIN SEVERE THREAT -- INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
ISOLATED/BRIEF TORNADOES -- WITH THE BAND OF ONGOING STORMS.

..GOSS.. 04/14/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...
DDC...

LAT...LON 36969798 40139946 40339757 38649393 37779310 36609283
36509450 36889581 36969798

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