SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261715
WVZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-PAZ000-KYZ000-261845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0980
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...WRN VA...WV...MD PANHANDLE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY
VALID 261715Z - 261845Z
CU FIELD IS EXPANDING/DEEPENING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WRN VA
AND WV. THIS LIKELY IS A REFLECTION OF STEEPER LAPSE RATE
ENVIRONMENT THAT HAS DEVELOPED DUE TO INTENSE HEATING AND SBCAPE
VALUES NOW REFLECT VALUES ON THE ORDER OF 1500-3000 J/KG BENEATH
MODESTLY STRONG SWLY DEEP LAYER FLOW. UPSTREAM...CONVECTION IS
GRADUALLY INTENSIFYING ACROSS PARS OF KY/ERN TN AND WILL SOON SPREAD
INTO THE REGION MENTIONED. GIVEN THIS EVOLUTION IT WOULD APPEAR
THAT DAMAGING WINDS COULD CERTAINLY BE NOTED WITH STRONGER LINE
SEGMENTS OR BOW-TYPE STRUCTURES. WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED.
..DARROW.. 05/26/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...MRX...JKL...
LAT...LON 36918322 39898062 39217888 36618079 36918322
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