SWOMCD
SPC MCD 281742
NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-281845-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1004
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...NE NY...VT
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH NEEDED SOON
VALID 281742Z - 281845Z
A SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NE NY AND VT THIS
AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE AND HAIL ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS BEING
ISSUED ATTM.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING NEW
ENGLAND. LIFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE AND SFC HEATING WILL PROVIDE
SUPPORT FOR CONTINUED STORM INITIATION ACROSS NERN NY AND VT OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000 TO 1200 J/KG AND DEEP
LAYER SHEAR OF 35 TO 40 KT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS.
THE LATEST WSR-88D VWPS ACROSS THE REGION SHOW 25 TO 30 KT OF
LOW-LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTING A WIND DAMAGE THREAT WILL EXIST WITH THE
MORE ORGANIZED STORMS. THE MORE INTENSE CELLS SHOULD ALSO CONTAIN A
THREAT FOR HAIL.
..BROYLES.. 05/28/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...
LAT...LON 44587231 45017288 44927348 44557400 43857430 43387437
42927412 42897355 42837291 42977264 43257241 43667216
44267216 44587231
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment