SEL8
SPC WW 191751
OKZ000-TXZ000-200100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 308
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA
NORTHWESTERN TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
800 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF ALVA
OKLAHOMA TO 100 MILES SOUTH OF CHILDRESS TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 307...
DISCUSSION...STORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR THE DRYLINE AND
LIKELY WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON IN UNCAPPED
AND WARMING AIR MASS. THE ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME STRONGLY UNSTABLE
WITH MLCAPES NEAR 3000 J/KG AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR
SUPERCELLS. THE GREATEST THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL...THOUGH THE
RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
LEVEL WINDS NEAR AND EAST OF THE DRYLINE ARE EXPECTED TO BACK AND
INCREASE IN SPEED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21020.
...IMY
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