Thursday, June 2, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1066

ACUS11 KWNS 021851
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021850
SCZ000-GAZ000-NCZ000-022045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1066
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0150 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN CAROLINAS...NERN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 021850Z - 022045Z

STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON WITH AN ISOLATED THREAT OF MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. GIVEN THE LACK OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR...A WW IS
UNLIKELY.

A VERY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT HAS DEVELOPED OVER THE REGION
CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE VALUES OF 4000 J/KG. WITHOUT A FOCUS FOR
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AND VERY WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR...STORMS WILL
STRUGGLE TO ORGANIZE. NEVERTHELESS...STEEP LAPSE RATES THROUGH THE
LOWER TROPOSPHERE WILL PROMOTE THE POSSIBILITY OF MARGINALLY SEVERE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS FROM STRONG DOWNDRAFTS.

..JIRAK.. 06/02/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON 35498282 35378227 35018176 34718126 34498096 34278067
34058043 33868030 33728032 33498060 33408076 33288098
33158134 33058178 32978215 32908258 32918283 33018323
33328345 33578340 33998335 34398335 34828351 35128347
35318338 35428318 35498296 35498282

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