Thursday, June 2, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1068

ACUS11 KWNS 021957
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021957
ILZ000-MOZ000-022200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0257 PM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 021957Z - 022200Z

CONVECTION HAS INTENSIFIED AHEAD OF REMNANT MCV FROM OVERNIGHT MCS.
CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH.

ENOUGH SURFACE HEATING HAS OCCURRED AHEAD OF MCV TO PRODUCE A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT OVER CENTRAL MO WITH MLCAPE VALUES
OVER 1000 J/KG. IF DESTABILIZATION CONTINUES TO OCCUR INTO ERN
MO...CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE/DEVELOP AHEAD OF MCV
LIKELY FOCUSED ALONG THE OLD OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR
AOA 30 KTS...SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH A THREAT OF
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A POSSIBLE TORNADO.

..JIRAK.. 06/02/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...EAX...

LAT...LON 39129278 39639254 39839205 39789172 39449119 38969030
38568997 38149024 38009060 38289159 38569233 39129278

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