Sunday, August 21, 2011

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2036

ACUS11 KWNS 212312
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 212312
MEZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-DCZ000-WVZ000-220015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2036
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0612 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NY/VT/NH...SWD TO DELMARVA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 794...795...

VALID 212312Z - 220015Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
794...795...CONTINUES.

NUMEROUS DISCRETE TSTMS HAVE DEVELOPED AND MERGED INTO A LARGER
COMPLEX OF STORMS OVER SRN NY. THIS ALONG WITH MORE EXPANSIVE
PRECIP OVER NRN NJ IS QUICKLY OVERTURNING AN AXIS OF INSTABILITY
THAT EXTENDS ACROSS THE HUDSON VALLEY. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS AND
RADAR CHARACTERISTICS IT APPEARS DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT...ALTHOUGH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD ACCOMPANY THE
STRONGER UPDRAFTS. CONVECTION SHOULD GRADUALLY SPREAD ACROSS SRN
NEW ENGLAND OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AND A RISK OF SEVERE WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL AIRMASS IS STABILIZED.

..DARROW.. 08/21/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...
BUF...CTP...LWX...

LAT...LON 44457464 44467079 41237296 41257336 38097576 38097905
41247682 41247661 44457464

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