SWODY1
SPC AC 031938
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT MON OCT 03 2011
VALID 032000Z - 041200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
VERY FEW CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS UPDATE...WITH
ONLY MINOR TWEAKS TO THE GENERAL THUNDER LINE. OVERALL FORECAST
REASONING REMAINS ON TRACK.
..GOSS.. 10/03/2011
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1117 AM CDT MON OCT 03 2011/
...SYNOPSIS/FCST...
STACKED UPR LOW OVER THE MID-ATLC REGION WILL BEGIN A SLOW DRIFT ENE
TDY AS DEEPENING UPR TROUGH EDGES ACROSS THE WRN STATES.
SCTD TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED TDY OVER MUCH OF THE INTERMOUNTAIN W...IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPR TROUGH AND INVOF THE WAVE TRAIN OF
SUB-TROPICAL IMPULSES MOVING NWD INTO THE CNTRL/SRN ROCKIES. MEAGER
AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY WILL PRECLUDE RISK OF ORGANIZED SVR TSTMS.
OTHER ISOLD-WDLY SCTD TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AMIDST A BROAD WARM CONVEYOR BELT TIED TO THE
MID-ATLC SYSTEM. MEANWHILE...OTHER ISOLD STORMS CAN BE ANTICIPATED
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE FL KEYS/SW MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY IN A
SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE ELY FLOW REGIME VCNTY AN OLD FRONT. FINALLY...
SPORADIC STORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT COASTAL WA/ORE/FAR N CA AS NRN
PORTIONS OF THE W COAST TROUGH BRUSH ACROSS THE REGION. IN ALL OF
THE ABOVE REGIONS...SVR STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
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