SWODY3
SPC AC 240720
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0220 AM CDT MON OCT 24 2011
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...SYNOPSIS...
A PROGRESSIVE/SPLIT UPPER FLOW REGIME SEEMS LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY
ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL CONUS. WHILE AMPLE NUMERICAL
GUIDANCE VARIABILITY EXISTS REGARDING THE DETAILS...IT IS LIKELY
THAT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY/SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM IMPULSE CROSSING
THE SOUTHWEST STATES/FAR NORTHWEST MEXICO. A SOUTHWEST-NORTHEAST
ORIENTED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO GENERALLY SPREAD SOUTHEASTWARD
THROUGH THE PERIOD ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OH/TN VALLEYS AND THE
LOWER MS VALLEY/ARKLATEX ALONG WITH MUCH OF TX.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL PERSIST DURING
THE DAY ALONG/AHEAD OF THIS FRONT ACROSS THE OZARKS AND LOWER OH/TN
RIVER VALLEYS...WITH ADDITIONAL TSTM DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON AND MORE SO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITHIN A CORRIDOR ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX/PORTIONS OF TX AND PERHAPS OK. WHILE A FEW STRONG
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE FRONT WITHIN A CORRIDOR FROM THE
ARKLATEX TO THE LOWER OH VALLEY...SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD GENERALLY
BE LIMITED BY MODEST MOISTURE AND WEAK /OR AT LEAST UNCERTAIN/
NEAR-FRONTAL/WARM SECTOR DESTABILIZATION.
..GUYER.. 10/24/2011
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment