SWOMCD
SPC MCD 230314
SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-230415-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2360
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0914 PM CST TUE NOV 22 2011
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL GA...WRN/CNTRL SC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 896...
VALID 230314Z - 230415Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 896 CONTINUES.
ALTHOUGH A LOW PROBABILITY THREAT SHOULD PERSIST FOR LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WINDS/BRIEF TORNADOES...THE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL WW/S IS
DOUBTFUL.
THE LONG-LIVED QLCS HAS EVOLVED INTO TWO DISTINCT CLUSTERS /ONE
ACROSS NERN GA AND THE OTHER IN W-CNTRL GA/. MODIFIED 00Z
FFC/TLH/GSO RAOBS SUGGEST INSTABILITY REMAINS WEAK WITH MLCAPE AOB
500 J/KG...AND OBSERVED LIGHTNING TRENDS HAVE DIMINISHED.
NEVERTHELESS...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE QUITE LARGE FROM CNTRL GA
NEWD PER GSP/JGX VWP DATA WITH 0-1 KM SRH FROM 300-400 M2/S2. THERE
REMAINS A CONCERN THAT A BRIEF FLARE-UP COULD PRODUCE A
TORNADO/DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...BASED ON OTHER OBSERVATIONAL
TRENDS THIS POTENTIAL APPEARS TO BE DECREASING.
..GRAMS.. 11/23/2011
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...TAE...
LAT...LON 31928490 32728390 33618330 34358282 35238197 35298152
35008091 34298076 32708209 31728341 31798445 31928490
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