SWODY3
SPC AC 020806
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CST FRI DEC 02 2011
VALID 041200Z - 051200Z
...S/SERN TX...LA...
PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION MAY STRUGGLE TO DEVELOP ACROSS S/SERN TX INTO
LA SUNDAY AS WARM SECTOR AIRMASS WILL LIKELY REMAIN MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE DUE IN LARGE PART TO RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES. IN THE ABSENCE OF MEANINGFUL INSTABILITY SOUTH OF THE
FRONT IT APPEARS WEAK WARM ADVECTION WILL BE LARGELY RESPONSIBLE FOR
EPISODIC BOUTS OF ELEVATED CONVECTION...POSSIBLY AS FAR NORTH AS
100-150 MI ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE WIND SHIFT. ALTHOUGH THE COLD
FRONT IS EXPECTED TO EASE OFFSHORE ALONG THE TX COAST...DEEP SWLY
FLOW ALOFT AND CONTINUED WARM ADVECTION ATOP THE COLD DOME SUGGEST
PARCELS ROOTED NEAR 700 MB MAY REMAIN BUOYANT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
..DARROW.. 12/02/2011
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