SWODY1
SPC AC 070022
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0622 PM CST FRI JAN 06 2012
VALID 070100Z - 071200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...UPPER PORTIONS OF LWR MS VALLEY INTO THE TN VALLEY... A
DEVELOPING PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE ZONE...ASSOCIATED WITH A WEST
SOUTHWESTERLY 850 MB JET STREAK SHIFTING ACROSS SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
AND THE SOUTHERN TENNESSEE BORDER AREA...MAY BECOME A FOCUS FOR WEAK
DESTABILIZATION OVERNIGHT. THE NAM/SREF...IN PARTICULAR...ARE
SUGGESTIVE THAT LOW-LEVEL MOISTENING AND LIFT COULD BECOME
SUFFICIENT FOR SOME WEAK THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...PERHAPS AS EARLY AS
THE 04-06Z TIME FRAME. SO...THE CATEGORICAL THUNDERSTORM RISK AREA
WILL BE MAINTAINED...BUT PROBABILITIES SEEM NEAR THE MINIMUM
THRESHOLD AT BEST.
..KERR.. 01/07/2012
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