Thursday, January 5, 2012

DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook

ACUS01 KWNS 051627
SWODY1
SPC AC 051625

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1025 AM CST THU JAN 05 2012

VALID 051630Z - 061200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PATTERN WILL FURTHER DEAMPLIFY THIS PERIOD AS ERN TROUGH CONTINUES E
INTO THE ATLANTIC AND BC/WA DISTURBANCE SHEARS E ACROSS MT/ND.
TSTM RISK WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE OVER THE CONUS GIVEN VERY DRY
AND/OR STABLE LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE OVER MOST AREAS.

MID LVL WARMING IN WAKE OF IMPULSE CROSSING WA/BC SHOULD LIMIT ANY
RISK FOR ADDITIONAL LIGHTNING ALONG THE NRN WA CST.
ELSEWHERE...WEAK RETURN FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE NWRN GULF OF
MEXICO...DOWNSTREAM FROM LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH OVER NRN CHIHUAHUA.
MID LVL WARM LAYER AND RELATIVELY DRY LOW LVL ENVIRONMENT /PER
SATELLITE DERIVED PW DATA/ SHOULD PROHIBIT TSTM DEVELOPMENT ALONG
THE S TX GULF CST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

..CORFIDI/HURLBUT.. 01/05/2012

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