Sunday, January 29, 2012

DAY3SVR: Nws Storm Prediction Center Norman Ok

ACUS03 KWNS 290817
SWODY3
SPC AC 290816

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0216 AM CST SUN JAN 29 2012

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

WLY FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE CNTRL AND ERN STATES TUESDAY AS
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS NWD ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS
AND ACROSS THE LOWER TO MID-MS VALLEY. SFC DEWPOINTS ARE FORECAST TO
REACH THE LOWER TO MID 60S F ALONG THE TX COASTAL PLAINS WITH 50S F
NNEWD INTO THE ARKLATEX. SOME OF THE MODELS DEVELOP CONVECTION IN SE
TX AND NW LA TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE ERN EDGE OF AN AXIS OF
INSTABILITY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ALONG THIS CORRIDOR IN THE HOUSTON
AND SHREVEPORT AREAS AT 21Z SHOW SBCAPE VALUES OF 250 TO 750 J/KG
WITH RELATIVELY WEAK SHEAR PROFILES. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD LIMIT
THE SEVERE THREAT. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE CONUS...THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TUESDAY OR TUESDAY NIGHT.

..BROYLES.. 01/29/2012

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