SWODY1
SPC AC 191252
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 AM CST SUN FEB 19 2012
VALID 191300Z - 201200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...GA/FL...
A STRONG UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO TRACK EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
GULF COAST REGION THIS MORNING...AND WILL AFFECT PARTS OF GA/FL
THROUGH THE DAY. A LEAD SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OVER GA/SC HAS BEEN
THE CAUSE FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT ACROSS SOUTH
GA/NORTH FL. HOWEVER...THESE STORMS HAVE SLOWLY WEAKENED THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS. VEERING LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AND WEAKENING
CONVERGENCE WILL LIKELY MAINTAIN THE DOWNWARD TRENDS TO THIS
CONVECTION AS IT MOVES OFFSHORE.
AS THE SECOND UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES GA/FL THIS AFTERNOON...THE
MAIN SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION AND END THE
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEST TO EAST. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS
THAT WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE LIMITING
FACTOR FOR THE THREAT OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS.
..HART/ROGERS.. 02/19/2012
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