SWODY2
SPC AC 081706
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1106 AM CST WED FEB 08 2012
VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SOUTH TX...
UPPER LOW OFF THE NRN BAJA COAST WILL DIG SEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD
EFFECTIVELY MAINTAINING A WEAK WARM ADVECTION REGIME ACROSS NERN
MEXICO INTO DEEP SOUTH TX. A RESERVOIR OF MOISTURE IS LINGERING
ACROSS THE WRN GULF BASIN INTO SOUTH TX WHERE PWAT VALUES ARE
CURRENTLY ON THE ORDER OF 1-1.5 INCHES. ALTHOUGH THE UPSTREAM LOW
IS NOT EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE THIS REGION...MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY
STEEPEN ENOUGH WITHIN THE DOWNSTREAM WARM CONVEYOR SUCH THAT WEAK
INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT ELEVATED CONVECTION...SOME OF IT POSSIBLY
DEEP ENOUGH TO SUPPORT LIGHTNING. THE CONVECTIVE THREAT WILL BE
CONSIDERABLY GREATER ACROSS NRN MEXICO AND IT REMAINS POSSIBLE THAT
A FEW STORMS COULD APPROACH THE RIO GRANDE WELL NW OF CURRENT TSTM
OUTLOOK.
...ELSEWHERE...
IT APPEARS BUOYANCY AND ASCENT WILL PROVE TOO WEAK TO WARRANT A
GENERAL THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH FL THURSDAY. THE MAJORITY
OF DEEPER UPDRAFTS WILL DEVELOP OFFSHORE OVER THE FL STRAITS AND
THIS IS WHERE THE GREATER THREAT FOR LIGHTNING WILL EXIST DURING THE
DAY2 PERIOD.
..DARROW.. 02/08/2012
+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-+-
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM send e-mail to LISTSERV@LISTSERV.ILLINOIS.EDU with
"unsub wx-storm" in the body of your message. For more information write cnovy@cox.net.
No comments:
Post a Comment