SWOD48
SPC AC 080906
DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0306 AM CST WED FEB 08 2012
VALID 111200Z - 161200Z
...DISCUSSION...
00Z/8TH ECMWF/GFS INDICATE THAT THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL GRADUALLY
TREND MORE PROGRESSIVE THIS WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH A
LONGWAVE TROUGH BECOMING INCREASINGLY ESTABLISHED OVER THE WESTERN
CONUS EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE CONTINUED PREVALENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE
EAST OF THE ROCKIES AND ASSOCIATED COLD/CONTINENTAL TRAJECTORIES
WILL LIKELY PRECLUDE AN APPRECIABLE SEVERE POTENTIAL INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...SUCH THAT NO 30 PERCENT EQUIVALENT SEVERE AREAS ARE CURRENTLY
WARRANTED. THAT SAID...EARLY INDICATIONS ARE THAT A SEVERE THREAT
COULD DEVELOP BY AROUND DAYS 7/8 TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS AS CYCLOGENESIS OCCURS/MOISTURE RETURNS ACROSS
THE REGION. HOWEVER...CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY EXISTS AT THIS
JUNCTURE IN REGARDS TO THIS SCENARIO.
..GUYER.. 02/08/2012
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