SWOMCD
SPC MCD 011922
ARZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-012115-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0085
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0122 PM CST WED FEB 01 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...FROM CNTRL AR SWWD INTO THE ARKLATEX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20...
VALID 011922Z - 012115Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 20
CONTINUES.
SEVERE HAIL THREAT IS INCREASING OVER THE REGION...WITH A DECIDED
UPSWING IN THE INTENSITY OF A LEADING STORM OVER W CNTRL AR. RADAR
INDICATES SEVERE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM...AND GIVEN
PARAMETERS IN PLACE INCLUDING HODOGRAPH LENGTH AS WELL AS STORM
STRUCTURE...THIS STORM MAY BE PRODUCING LARGE AMOUNTS OF HAIL IN
ADDITION TO LARGE SIZES. AT THE CURRENT SPEED...THESE HAIL STORMS
WILL AFFECT THE LITTLE ROCK AREA BETWEEN 230-300 PM LOCAL TIME.
OTHER STORMS WERE STRENGTHENING OVER SWRN AR...WITH OTHER CELLS NOW
DEVELOPING OVER NERN TX. VERY LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT...BUT DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO OCCUR. WEAK LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO MINIMIZE THE RISK OF TORNADOES.
..JEWELL.. 02/01/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...
LAT...LON 33069110 32029512 34819514 35819110 33069110
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