SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012058
MSZ000-TNZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-012300-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0087
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0258 PM CST WED FEB 01 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...AR...NRN LA...WRN TN AND NWRN MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 012058Z - 012300Z
SEVERE STORMS WITH HAIL CONTINUE OVER CNTRL AR...EXTENDING SWD INTO
NRN LA. THE LEADING EDGE OF THE AR STORMS ARE APPROXIMATELY TWO
HOURS AWAY FROM THE MS RIVER AS OF 21Z....BUT A NEW WATCH MAY BE
REQUIRED LATER TODAY E OF THE CURRENT WATCH.
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID 70S OVER SRN AR AND
NRN LA WHERE HEATING CONTINUES. WITH DEWPOINTS FROM 58 TO 62
F...THIS SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR A CONTINUED THREAT OF SEVERE
STORMS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. DEEP LAYER FLOW AND PROGRESSIVE NATURE
OF THE UPPER TROUGH MAY ALLOW SEVERE STORMS TO PERSIST INTO WRN TN
AND NWRN MS....WITH STORMS MOVING IN AN ENE DIRECTION AT
APPROXIMATELY 30 KT.
..JEWELL.. 02/01/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 32149378 33629363 34549315 35289178 35588957 35118918
34278918 33468971 32809109 32149378
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