SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082248
TXZ000-090045-
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0477
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0548 PM CDT SUN APR 08 2012
AREAS AFFECTED...SE TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 082248Z - 090045Z
AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR HAIL AND STRONG WINDS WILL EXIST ACROSS SE TX
THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...ISOLATED/BRIEF NATURE OF THE THREAT
PRECLUDES THE ISSUANCE OF A WW.
ONGOING THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS N-CNTRL/CNTRL TX IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. LATEST HRRR/RUC SOUNDINGS AND SFC
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS INDICATES SBCAPE AOA 1000 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR AROUND 30 KTS AHEAD OF THE LINE OF STORMS. THE STRONGEST
STORMS ARE LOCATED IN AND AROUND ANDERSON COUNTY WHERE SURFACE
ANALYSIS INDICATES AN INTERSECTION OF A SWD PROGRESSING COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER OK AND A STATIONARY BOUNDARY
RESULTANT FROM YESTERDAYS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ACROSS W TX. AS A
RESULT...STRONGEST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR THIS
INTERSECTION WHICH WILL PROGRESS SLOWLY SEWD OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LARGE
HAIL ALTHOUGH SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
..MOSIER.. 04/08/2012
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...
LAT...LON 32309572 32229538 31919494 31429477 30829485 30709545
30859608 31379644 32029625 32309572
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