Tuesday, April 10, 2012

MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0488

ACUS11 KWNS 102035
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102035
OKZ000-TXZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-102230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0488
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT TUE APR 10 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM/SERN CO/OK AND TX PANHANDLES

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 102035Z - 102230Z

POTENTIAL FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT IS INCREASING ATTM ACROSS THE TX
PANHANDLE AND SURROUNDING AREAS. LIMITED SEVERE POTENTIAL COULD
EVENTUALLY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS BANDS OF SLOWLY INCREASING CU
IN A NUMBER OF LOCATIONS INVOF THE TX PANHANDLE. HOWEVER...WITH
LIMITED SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS A GOOD PORTION OF THIS
AREA...OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. GREATEST
SEVERE THREAT WOULD APPEAR TO EXIST ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...WHICH LIES ON THE FAR SRN FRINGE OF THE STRONGER FLOW FIELD
ALOFT. THOUGH THE OVERALL ENVIRONMENT APPEARS SUPPORTIVE OF LIMITED
STORM ORGANIZATION AND THUS ONLY LOW-END SEVERE POTENTIAL...WW MAY
BE WARRANTED IF TRENDS SUGGEST FAIRLY WIDESPREAD CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
WOULD BECOME LIKELY.

..GOSS.. 04/10/2012

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

LAT...LON 36680428 37070453 37440347 36980059 36889991 36279955
34260007 34140051 34050168 34330362 35490382 36680428

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